Introduction
Learn the basics of prediction markets and how to start trading.
What is Kuest?
Kuest is a prediction market that lets you measure and trade sentiment on real-world events—from high-stakes elections and macro data releases to entertainment headlines. Market prices emerge from what participants are willing to risk, so the odds capture collective expectations instead of pundit opinions.
Signals from skin in the game
Because every position is backed by capital, prices react quickly when traders uncover new information. Kuest surfaces those signals as live probabilities.
Quick overview
- Trade outcome shares for questions like “Will Donald Trump retake the U.S. presidency in 2024?”.
- Shares trade between 0.00 and 1.00 USDC, and each opposing outcome pair (“YES” + “NO”) is fully backed by 1.00 USDC.
- New shares are minted when both sides agree on a price, so each trade remains fully collateralized.
- Winning shares redeem for 1.00 USDC when a market resolves, while losing shares expire at zero.
- You are always trading against other users, which means you can sell early, capture profits repeatedly, and you are never limited for winning too often.
Understanding prices
Prices map directly to implied probabilities. If “YES” shares trade at 0.27 USDC, the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. As with equity markets, Kuest does not set odds—supply and demand in the order book does.
Ways to profit
If you believe the market is underestimating an outcome, buy shares at the current price. A correct resolution pays out 1.00 USDC, so a purchase at 0.27 USDC returns 0.73 USDC per share. You can also sell at any time before settlement to lock in gains or limit downside as prices move.
Accuracy of the odds
Academic studies consistently show that prediction markets aggregate dispersed knowledge more effectively than isolated forecasts, polls, or analysts. As more informed traders join, they arbitrage mispriced contracts and push probabilities closer to fair value. Whether you are seeking better insights about the future or looking to monetize your expertise, Kuest provides a transparent, market-driven source of truth.