Insights from the protocol
Field notes on prediction markets, protocol launches, and what we learn building white-label infrastructure for institutions.
How to Launch Your Own Prediction Market in 15 Minutes (2026 Guide)
An end-to-end walkthrough of the Kuest stack — audited smart contracts, shared liquidity, managed resolution, and your operator fee on every trade. From sign-up to live trades in a quarter of an hour.
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How to Run Your Own Prediction Market Venue: The Complete 2026 Operator's Manual
A comprehensive operator's manual for the first 365 days of a prediction-market venue — KPIs, market creation cadence, fee evolution, retention, support, resolution operations, regulatory posture, audience growth, and the year-1 to year-2 transition.
Why Prediction Markets Are the Future of Finance
A long-form thesis on why prediction markets become a core financial primitive over the next decade — information aggregation, capital efficiency, programmability, AI-complementarity, and use cases that go far beyond what equities or futures can express.
How Prediction Market Resolution Actually Works: UMA, Oracles, and the Settlement Layer
A deep technical breakdown of how prediction-market contracts get resolved — the optimistic oracle, dispute mechanics, escalation games, and why settlement is the part that decides which platforms survive.
How to Open Your Own Prediction Market in 2026: The End-to-End Operator's Launch Playbook
An operational, step-by-step playbook for launching a prediction-market venue in 2026 — audience selection, jurisdiction, market design, contract spec, fees, brand, KYC, liquidity, private beta, public launch, and the first-week monitoring that decides whether the venue scales.
Why Shared Liquidity Decides Who Wins the Next Prediction-Market Wave
Cold-start is the silent killer of new prediction-market venues. A 2026 analysis of how shared order flow changes the unit economics, the retention math, and the competitive map on day one.
Prediction Markets vs Futures vs Stock Markets: A 2026 Structural Comparison
What prediction markets price, how they differ from futures and equities on capital efficiency, settlement, liquidity, and information aggregation — and where the boundaries are blurring.
Why Prediction Markets Are the First Truly Global Asset Class — and How They Unlock the $50 Trillion Events Economy
Events are global by definition — Fed decisions, World Cup finals, election outcomes, geopolitical shocks — but the markets that price them have been hopelessly local. A long-form thesis on how prediction markets break that asymmetry and what it unlocks.
Polymarket vs Kalshi vs Kuest: The 2026 Comparison Every Operator Needs
An honest, full-stack comparison of Polymarket, Kalshi, and Kuest — what each is, who they're for, fee economics, regulatory posture, and why the protocol layer is a different category from the venues.
Trading Fees, Explained: How to Set Yours Without Scaring Traders Away
A practical 2026 guide to choosing a fee rate for your prediction market — what we see working, what kills volume, and how to evolve it as you grow.
Build vs License a Prediction Market: A 2026 Cost-and-Time Analysis
What it actually costs to build a prediction market from scratch — engineering, audits, oracles, compliance, liquidity — versus licensing infrastructure. Real numbers, real timelines.
$18B in Volume, 32M Visits, and a 2-Year Window: The Prediction-Market Land Grab
Prediction-market volume is doubling every six months and most institutions still don't have a position. A breakdown of the data, the regulatory shift, and the operators already moving.